US economy improving slowly, IMF says

However, the IMF added that the recovery from recession has so far been “tepid”.

In its regular assessment of the economy, the IMF said the US still faces “powerful headwinds”.

But it noted gains on stock markets and in house prices, and predicted that economic growth should gradually accelerate over the next year.

The IMF said the expiration of the payroll tax cut earlier this year and the impact of government spending cuts (through the so-called sequester) were “weighing significantly on growth this year”.

However, further ahead, the IMF sees a slightly brighter picture and expects “economic activity to accelerate to 2.7% next year as the fiscal drag subsides and the negative legacies of the financial crisis wane further”.

On unemployment, the IMF predicted that the rate would remain broadly stable this year, “reflecting the pickup in the labour force participation as discouraged workers return to the labour force”.

It also expects the rate of unemployment to gradually fall in 2014.

Gradual acceleration

The Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping interest rates very low (close to zero) was also seen by the IMF as still being necessary to support the recovery.

Overall, the IMF felt that the improvement in the underlying conditions of the US economy “bodes well for a gradual acceleration of growth”.

The IMF’s assessment is in stark contrast to one it released early this week on the eurozone, in which it concluded that the economies in several member countries remained weak.


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