by admin | May 25, 2021 | Business, Economy, Emerging Businesses, News
Mumbai : The Indian service sector’s output expanded in September, due to “renewed increases in new business”, a key macro-economic data showed on Thursday.
The seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Business Activity Index rose from 47.5 in August to 50.7, “a reading that was indicative of a slight pace of expansion”.
The Nikkei India Manufacturing PMI released on Tuesday showed that the composite indicator of manufacturing performance, stood at 51.2 in September.
The manufacturing index remained unchanged from August. However, it indicated a modest improvement in manufacturing sector business conditions in September.
An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity and below 50 an overall decrease.
The expansion of both the services and manufacturing sectors pushed the Nikkei India Composite PMI Output Index to 51.1 in September from 49 in August.
“The Indian private sector regained some lost ground since the implementation of July’s GST as service providers followed the manufacturing industry back to growth. The service sector registered slight expansions in output and new orders,” Aashna Dodhia, Economist at IHS Markit, and the author of the report, said.
“The labour market was strengthened over the month as the pace of job creation quickened to the fastest since mid-2011, led by the transport and storage and consumer services sub-sectors.”
—IANS
by admin | May 25, 2021 | Opinions
By Amit Kapoor, (IANS) :
The most recent Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) reflects a contraction in the manufacturing activity in India in December.
Most domestic and international analysts and experts are looking at it from the viewpoint of the move of the government which essentially removed 86 per cent of the currency as legal tender. The unprecedented move does seem to have had an adverse impact on the manufacturing and investment activity. Its benefits, at best, are uncertain at present though the government has been lauding the move from the viewpoint of recovering tax from income tax raids as well as the ability to levy tax on declared income beyond a threshold.
Another positive the government has been vocal about is the change expected in behaviour of people to a less-cash economy. The All India Manufacturers’ Organisation has, meanwhile, issued a study which shows a 50 percent dip in revenues and 35 percent job losses for SMEs. The government must carefully look into these figures.
Over the years, if one looks at the performance of the manufacturing sector, it has not been among the best performers. There are a number of reasons for this. A recent report by the Institute for Competitiveness, an international think-tank, looks at some of these aspects as well as compiles an index of manufacturing competitiveness for Indian states. The report notes that the share of manufacturing has been stagnant at roughly 15 per cent of GDP for the past 30 years in contrast to services, which have grown, and agriculture, which has shrunk during this period. The report brings out four essential points on India’s manufacturing competitiveness.
First, it traces the development of the sector and notes that the possible reason for its non-performance is due to crucial reforms not happening. It notes that India’s initial market opening process did include reforms in the capital markets and FDI into distinct sectors. However, market reforms initially remained untouched. These included labour legislation and laws pertaining to land markets. Even today, they remain restrictive for investment and competitiveness to grow.
The reforms largely helped in the development of the service industry but could not enable the rise of the manufacturing industry, which, in addition, required critical linkages like electricity, water and reduction in burdensome regulations. However, these were not initially available, which resulted in services taking off while manufacturing lagged. Thus, only some states are good in manufacturing.
The second point is the important locations for manufacturing. The best states in this regard are Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat, that can be thought to be at the forefront of manufacturing competitiveness. They are also good in industrial clusters and SMEs. The northeastern states and states like Bihar and Jharkhand perform relatively poorly on the composite index. The reasons for these are many and complex, but their inability to provide a stable environment for investment in manufacturing to take place is the primary factor.
Third, another major factor for India to consider over the medium to long term is automation. Most Indian businessmen and policymakers are not according it the attention automation and the rise of the robots should be getting. The need for paying attention to this is simple. The Make in India national manufacturing policy aims to create 100 million additional jobs by 2022. Even if the manufacturing sector has a multiplier of 5, generating 20 million jobs is not easy. And that too in an environment where automation is fast replacing manual jobs.
China’s manufacturing workforce is under tremendous stress as technological innovation disrupts manual jobs. India needs to adapt to this changing reality and adjust its manufacturing sector considering the changes under way at the technological level globally.
Finally, how does one create a nation that has manufacturing prowess?
There are three or four important points which should be undertaken by governments as well as corporations. First, factoring market reforms even at the state level will go a long way in boosting manufacturing competitiveness. Some states have taken the lead; others need to follow. Second, 8-10 states should take the leadership role and establish collaborations with countries on furthering the Make in India initiative.
Third, a branding and mindset reset is needed to change India’s image from a low-cost re-engineering country to one which is known for quality, excellence and innovation. Fourth, skill shortage is a major concern for the industry at present. The need for formal skill training can hardly be over emphasised in the wake of automation.
Finally, the focus of governments in India should be on a manufacturing competitiveness ecosystem which thinks about the meaningful interactions between humans, capital and factories for productive employment. Over the years, India’s policymakers need to be vigilant about the technological disruption that could severely impact manufacturing and job growth in India and align their policies accordingly.
(Amit Kapoor is Chair, Institute for Competitiveness, India. The views expressed are personal. Amit can be reached at amit.kapoor@competitiveness.in and tweets @kautiliya. Sankalp Sharma, senior researcher with the Institute for Competitiveness, contributed to the article)
by admin | May 25, 2021 | World
New York:(IANS) The US dollar lost against euro Thursday as economic data of the country came in worse-than-expected.
On the US economic front, in the week ending September 26, the advance figure for seasonally-adjusted initial jobless claims increased by 10,000 from the previous week’s unrevised level to 277,000, above market consensus of 272,000, said the US Labour Department.
The four-week moving average remained at a very low level of 270,750, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week’s unrevised average, suggesting continued strength in the labour market, Xinhua news agency reported.
Meanwhile, the US September manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) registered 50.2 percent, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the August reading of 51.1 percent, said the Institute Supply Management (ISM) on Thursday.
In late New York trading, the euro gained to 1.1185 dollars from 1.1175 dollars of the previous session, and the British pound increased to 1.5132 dollars from 1.5127 dollars. The Australian dollar went up to 0.7031 dollars from 0.7015 dollars.
The dollar bought 119.92 Japanese yen, higher than 119.91 yen of the previous session. The dollar moved up to 0.9777 Swiss francs from 0.9741 Swiss francs, and it moved down to 1.3253 Canadian dollars from 1.3338 Canadian dollars.
