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Trump puts Pakistan on notice, warns it has much to lose

Trump puts Pakistan on notice, warns it has much to lose

Donald TrumpBy Arul Louis,

New York : In possibly the sternest warning to Pakistan by an American leader, US President Donald Trump has put Islamabad on notice, declaring it “has much to lose by continuing to harbour terrorists” and hinting at a direct action within that nation.

Outlining a new strategy for Afghanistan and South Asia before at a meeting of 2,000 US military personnel at Fort Meyer near Washington, he forthrightly accused Pakistan of giving “safe haven to agents of chaos, violence and terror”.

In an implied warning to Islamabad, he added, “These killers need to know they have nowhere to hide – that no place is beyond the reach of American arms.”

Asserting that “the next pillar of our new strategy is a change in our approach to Pakistan,” he reverted to his trademark blunt style and said: “We can no longer be silent about Pakistan’s safe havens for terrorist organisations, the Taliban and other groups that pose a threat to the region and beyond.”

“Pakistan has much to gain from partnering with our effort in Afghanistan,” he added. “It has much to lose by continuing to harbour terrorists.”

In the strongest accusation coming from a US President, he forthrightly accused Pakistan of giving “safe haven to agents of chaos, violence and terror”.

“We will also expand authority for American armed forces to target the terrorist and criminal networks that sow violence and chaos throughout Afghanistan,” he said.

“These killers need to know they have nowhere to hide – that no place is beyond the reach of American arms.”

“I have already lifted restrictions the previous administration placed on our warfighters that prevented the Secretary of Defence and our commanders in the field from fully and swiftly waging battle against the enemy,” he said.

While he talked of a new strategy, he played the cards close to his chest. He did not provide any specifics saying: “We will not talk about numbers of troops or our plans for further military activities.”

He added that he would not set any timetables — which his predecessor Barack Obama had.

Trump said: “From now on, victory will have a clear definition: attacking our enemies, obliterating IS (Islamic State), crushing Al Qaeda, preventing the Taliban from taking over the country and stopping mass terror attacks against Americans before they emerge.”

Another important change to US policy that he announced was a break from the failed policies of his predecessors to build democracies around the world, sometimes at the point of a gun as in Iraq.

He called the new policy “Principled Realism” and said: “We will no longer use American military might to construct democracies in far away lands, or try to rebuild other countries in our own image – those days are now over.”

He added, “We are not asking others to change their way of life, but to pursue common goals that allow our children to live better lives.”

He raised the spectre of nuclear threats at two levels.

“We must prevent nuclear weapons and materials from coming into the hands of terrorists and being used against us,” Trump said.

The other danger he saw was from Pakistan’s backing for terrorists against India.

“The threat is worse because Pakistan and India are two nuclear-armed states whose tense relations threaten to spiral into conflict,” he said.

(Arul Louis can be reached at arul.l@ians.in)

—IANS

What does this story say about the 70th anniversary?

What does this story say about the 70th anniversary?

Tiranga, tricolor, india, indian flag,By Saeed Naqvi,

This is a true story. I am revisiting it with a purpose: So that it collides head on with the nation’s 70th anniversary celebrations. Absolute, undiluted joy on this occasion would require total amnesia of that which accompanied independence: Partition. With some of us, these celebrations will always be tempered with Keats’ great dictum:

“Ay, in the very temple of delight
Veil’d melancholy has her sovran shrine”

Yes, that story, spread over India, Pakistan and the US. Before I share the story with you, let me first spell out the dramatis personae to simplify the narrative.

When the feudal order was breaking down, my family in Mustafabad near Rae Bareli produced two ideological streams. My father came from a line of staid Congressmen. His elder brother, Wasi Naqvi, was the first Congress MLA from Rae Bareli. My earliest memory of political activity in these 70 years is of Feroz Gandhi weaving his parliamentary seat around my uncle’s assembly constituency. This was the seat Indira Gandhi inherited, then Rajiv Gandhi and so on.

My mother’s family was more literary and, after the intellectual fashion of those days, of a more leftist bent. Her only brother Saiyid Mohammad Mehdi, our dearest “Mamujan”, caught the eye of P.C. Joshi, General Secretary of the CPI, who was then stitching together Indian Peoples Theatre and the Progressive Writers Association. Joshi whisked Mamujan away to Mumbai to share a commune with Sardar Jafri, Kaifi Azmi, Majrooh Sultanpuri, Krishen Chander and a host of others.

Mamujan’s younger daughter, Shireen, with a degree from JNU, could not ignore her mother’s entreaties and married a cousin, Abbas, a gentleman to boot, settled in Dubai but, alas, of Pakistani parentage. The conditions for the marriage were clear: They would live in a neutral country, not in Pakistan. Shireen obstinately held on to her Indian passport.

Like her father, Shireen is a reader (a book in two days) and taught in a school. Abbas stuck to investment banking.

Their eldest daughter Mariam studied cinema in Canada, fell in love with a Haitian filmmaker and settled in Canada. She was confident that her Indian passport, on which she had travelled to India numerous times, would be part of the record even if she acquired her husband’s nationality.

She had goofed. She had not taken into account the dark shadow that would always hover over her head: Her father’s Pakistani nationality. That fact scratches out her Indianness. This is just a minor consequence of what the leaders of India, Pakistan and Great Britain accomplished 70 years ago. But Shireen had to prepare for worse.

When she was in the family way again, her husband had taken a transfer to the Cayman Islands. For Shireen this was a Godsend in a most unexpected way. In the ninth month of her pregnancy, she would cross over to Florida for greater gynaecological care. This is precisely what Shireen did. So, not only was little Rabab born in a world class hospital, she was doubly blessed on another score. She was born with a priceless document: The American passport. So far so good, until God revealed his enigmatic side: Rabab was diagnosed with cerebral palsy, immobile, comprehensively challenged, condemned to move only on a wheelchair.

Shireen and Rabab were able to travel to Delhi, Lucknow, Kanpur, and Mustafabad once or twice a year until collapse of the global economy in 2008 affected Shireen’s mobility. Frequent travel between Dubai and Delhi became too expensive.

When sorrows come they come in battalions. At 30, Rabab is a big, heavy girl. With tears in her eyes, her Bangladeshi nanny told Shireen that Rabab was too heavy for her to change her clothes, bathe, seat on a wheelchair and be put to bed.

Shireen and Abbas began to share these chores until the next installment of bad news. Shireen was diagnosed with leukemia.

She now faces an existential choice. Her support structure — sister, uncles, cousins, nieces are all in India. She already has an apartment next door to our daughters, her adoring nieces.

Shireen, of course, has an Indian passport and can come and go as she pleases. The problem is with Rabab’s long term visa because it is impossible to cart her back and forth, pointlessly, on a short term visa which, incidentally, is not assured either. One would have thought she can sail in with her American passport. But that is not the case. Her father’s nationality trumps all other considerations. Look, she is on a wheel chair. Doesn’t matter. She is comprehensively challenged. That does not qualify her for an Indian visa. The system is telling an invalid child that her father is her curse.

Lest you begin to chastise the present government for Rabab’s woes, do pause for a moment. The BJP regime came in day before yesterday. Stringent, sometimes inexplicable, laws were put in place by successive Congress governments.

The document that Mariam was handed by the Indian High Commission in Ottawa (when she applied for OCI card some years ago) takes one’s breath away: “As per the MHA’s OCI ruling, no person who, or either of whose parents or grandparents or great grandparents is or has been a citizen of Pakistan, Bangladesh at any time or such other country as the Central government may, by notification in the official gazette, specify, shall be eligible for registration as an overseas citizen of India cardholder. In view of the existing OCI rules, you are not entitled for grant of OCI card facility because one of your parents is of Pakistani origin.” That Mariam was born in India and, before her marriage, travelled extensively on an Indian passport is of no consequence.

I realise more than most people that these are abnormal times. In fact my career as a foreign correspondent would have been impossible without unstinted help, on a personal basis, from friends in the foreign office and in other parts of government. Additionally, visas for friends and relatives, on both sides of the border, were there for the asking. My friends were a strand in the vast mosaic that kept the nation’s sanity. Thanks to them, visiting relatives from Pakistan envied us for the friends we had. “Bhaiyya, can we buy land here?” It all seems so distant in time.

My mother, an eternal optimist, a great favourite of Shireen and Abbas, indeed our entire universe, died three years ago, firm in her belief that sooner or later mists will lift and peace will descend. She would recite the following couplet with wistfulness in the eyes:

“Bada maza us milap mein hai,
Jo sulah ho jaae, jung ho kar?
(There is great pleasure in that harmony
Which descends after a big quarrel.)

Would my mother have been able to sustain that optimism given the state of play on this, our 70th birthday?

(Saeed Naqvi is a commentator on political and diplomatic affairs. The views expressed are personal. He can be reached on saeednaqvi@hotmail.com )

—IANS

India’s Kashmir Policy: Way Forward

India’s Kashmir Policy: Way Forward

CRPF, KashmirBy Ram Puniyani

The turmoil in Kashmir, which got intensified after the fake encounter of Burhan Wani (July 2016), does not seem to abet. It has been worsening as reflected in the ongoing violence leading to low turnout of voters in the by poll (April 2017). Shockingly there was a turn out only of 7.14 percent of voters. The by-polls were also marred by violence in which, many a civilians and security force person also died and lately one witnessed with great horror a Kashmir youth being tied to the military truck to prevent stone pelters from throwing stones on the vehicle.

Those pelting stones don’t seem to be stopping despite the lapse of period of time. These young men are being looked at in various ways. Farookh Abdullah had stated on the eve of elections that those young men throwing stones are doing so for their nation. This statement of his came under scathing criticism from various quarters and section of media and was dismissed by many as a pre election statement.

Another way of looking at those pelting stones; as gleaned from section of media; is that these are pro-Pakistan elements. They are being instigated by Pakistan and that they are doing this for money. As such stone pelting has been used as a method of protest in Kashmir since ages but has become glaringly obvious from last few years. Intimidated by the terrorists-militants on one side and the security forces on the other these young men have been resorting to pelting stones as a form of protest and anguish. One can see the clear pattern in worsening repression and an increase in their activities. As such after every major act of hanging-murder the protests have become more intense e.g. after the hanging of Maqbul Butt (1984), then after the hanging of Afzal Guru (2013) and now after the killing of Burhan Wani (2016).

Who are these boys who pelt stones? Are these merely Pakistan inspired and funded youth? In the aftermath of state crackdown; hundreds have died, thousands have been wounded and many more have lost eyesight! A section of TV and other media is going hammer and tongs about the role of Pakistan and the funding they receive. The question which needs to be introspected is that will young people risk their life, loss of eyesight or other harm to body just for someone’s bidding or some money? Many of them are teenagers, tech savvy and they are so much full of deep hatred that they are willing to risk their lives, not caring about their future. The degree of frustration among them must we horrific.

Only a small section of media has gone deeper into the issue and have interviewed some of them. The stories of their experiences and feelings shatter one’s perceptions about law and order in Kashmir. Many belong to families which have given up hope of any type. Most of these young boys have experienced torture, beating, harassments of sorts and often humiliation For many of them stone throwing comes as sort of catharsis, a feeling of having taken revenge of what has happened to them. It is the only strong way of protest they must be feeling is left for them. Many of them are Pro Pakistan for sure but the basic point remains political alienation which is seeping in deepening. This in turn is due to the suffering and pain to which Kashmir has been subjected due to the prolonged military presence in the area.

Post Burhan Wani murder, the Kashmir based PDP, or even national Conference has been able to see the intensity of the situation. Mahbooba Mufti, the Chief Minister of the ruling coalition, wanted to go for a dialogue with the dissenters, but coalition partner and the party leading at center BJP shot down the idea. Mahbooba Mufti felt that dialogue is the only way out but BJP feels that dialogue is a way to befool the people. It seems the ruling BJP wants to take a hard line to deal with dissidence, regards that dissidence is there only due to Pakistan or ISIS and so repression should be intensified.

What have earlier efforts for peace which need to be recalled in the present damning times? In one of the most significant move UPA II had appointed a team of interlocutors to understand and suggest the way out. The eminent team suggested that the autonomy of Kashmir Assembly, which is part of treaty of accession, be restored, dialogue with dissidents to be initiated and also talks with Pakistan be undertaken along with repeal of Armed Forces Special Powers Act.

Today there can be two approaches one is to recall the treaty of accession and gravitate towards that and take the recommendations of Interlocutors seriously. Nearly seven decades after the accession of Kashmir to India, there is a need to recall that forcible merger; repression of dissent was never the idea of founders of Indian nation. Let’s see what Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel had to say on the matter way back, Deputy Prime Minister Vallabhbhai Patel said at a public meeting in Bombay on October 30, 1948: “Some people consider that a Muslim majority area must necessarily belong to Pakistan. They wonder why we are in Kashmir. The answer is plain and simple. We are in Kashmir because the people of Kashmir want us to be there. The moment we realize that the people of Kashmir do not want us to be there, we shall not be there even for a minute… We shall not let the Kashmir down” (The Hindustan Times, October 31, 1948).

The situation in Kashmir is critical, and worsening by the day due to the high handed dealings from the center. Even the Chief Minister of Kashmir and the people like Sheikh Abdulla need to be listened to, if we want peace in the green valley, peace which is crucial. The deeper peace can only be won through winning the hearts and minds of the people of Kashmir, ultranationalist formulations don’t work in the long run.

Pakistan, Bangladesh snatch GCC jobs from India

Pakistan, Bangladesh snatch GCC jobs from India

Modi SaudiThe current dismal scenario regarding jobs for Indian migrant in the GCC countries has registered sharp decline post 2014. Maeeshat assistant editor Asif Nawaz revisited the government emigrant regiment to explore reason for this slump. He prescribed and antidote for this; Scrap eMigrate regimen to restore pre-2014 job scenario in Gulf

Indo-Saudi relation has witnessed upswing during past few decades, reinforcing economic and socio-cultural ties. Post independence in 1947, New Delhi has established its full-fledged diplomatic relation with Riyadh, which was followed by many high level visits from both the sides. Recently the Hon’ble Prime Minister of India, Shri Narendra Modi paid two-day official visit to the Kingdom, from 2 to 3 April 2016, at the invitation of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, His Majesty King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud. The leaders of the two nations made an all round effort to catapult their mutually beneficial conventional bilateral relationship of politics, economy, security, defence, manpower and people to people exchanges into the level of ‘Strategic Partnership’.

India and Saudi Arabia have shaped their ties in such a way that both the nations enjoy a win-win type of relation, in which the possible outcomes benefit the two sides. None loses anything on benefitting the other side. Their relationship has been developed in a manner that both are dependent on each other without giving any space to either side to go unilaterally on deciding any mutual affair.

In trade and commerce, according to financial year of 2014–15, Saudi is our 4th largest trade partner today with total trade amounting to USD 26,715.56 million after China (70,717.18), United States (62,117.21) and United Arab Emirates (49,735.69); it’s the largest supplier of crude oil to India – a major source of energy as we import around 20 percent of our crude oil need.

Besides trade, investment and cultural ties, India enjoys a very special kind of relation with this petro-major. As per the MEA data, till 2015, 2.96 million plus strong Indian community are working in the Kingdom. It is considered as the largest expatriate community in the Kingdom, contributing around 30 per cent of the total expatriates of Saudi Arabia (that is around 10 million). The Indians are the most preferred community due to their expertise, discipline, law abiding and peace loving nature.

Currently, over seven million Indians live and work in the oil-rich Gulf nations. Out of them, around 40 percent are in Saudi Arabia and 30 percent in United Arab Emirates. In last 10 years, the number of Indian expats in Saudi Arabia has increased considerably; from 13,00,000 in 2004 it shoot up to 29,60,000 in 2015, making it more than two fold increase in overall Indian community in the Kingdom in just 10 years. Subsequently, the influx of remittance to India from the Saudi Arabia has also increased significantly.

The graph portrays the increase in India’s migrant workers who arrived in Saudi Arabia in last ten years.

empl

https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action Accessed on 10/02/2017

From 2008 to 2015, every year India managed to deploy on an average around 3 lakh Indian workers in KSA, and the highest total was 3, 56,489 in 2012. This each year’s increase (from 2008 to 2015) made Indians the biggest expatriate community in the Kingdom. It is worth mentioning here that the growth rate of overseas employment in the Gulf was not confined to Saudi Arabia alone. After 2007, in all other Gulf countries India witnessed the same pace of growth in its overseas migrants’ employment. The MEA’s website for Overseas Employment Division “www.emigrate.gov.in” says that in 2007, the deployment of Indian workers in six GCC countries was 1,73,607 only, however in 2014, and 2015 it reached up to 7,75,846 and 7,58,684 respectively in the same number of GCC countries.

If we analyze the data of last five years (excluding 2016) available on the ministry’s website, we come across a very interesting fact that every year around 7.50 lakh Indian workers went to Gulf countries on employment visa. Out of them approximately 3.25 lakh arrived in Saudi Arabia alone. Here, in the chart below, we can easily observe a substantial growth in Indian workers going to Saudi Arabia in particular and into the Gulf in general.

  UAE KSA Qatar Kuwait Oman Bahrain Total
2015 2,25,512 3,06,642 59,340 66,543 85,028 15,619 7,58,684
2014 2,24,037 3,29,882 75,983 80,420 51,317 14,207 7,75,846
2013 2,02,980 3,53,565 78,380 72,628 63,554 17,317 7,88,424
2012 1,41,362 3,56,489 63,137 55,843 84,503 20,148 7,21,482
2011 1,41,627 2,93,880 42,556 45,164 75,671 14,912 6,13,810
https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action Accessed on 07/02/17

However, In May 2015, the government of India introduced a unique computerized system called “e-Migrate” To regulate overseas employment especially for protection of less educated blue collar workers as a measure to ensure protection against possible exploitation of the Indian workers by their employers. The Indian government also claimed that this system will greatly enhance the “Ease-of-doing-business” and ensures prompt and easy action on all fronts to all the Stakeholders. By doing so, the government patted its shoulder for practically doing “Minimum Government, Maximum Governance” which was promised when Prime Minister Modi and the National Democratic Alliance rode to power in May 2014.

This system has been mainly introduced to deal with the large number of complaints received from Indians working in West Asia and some other ECR (Emigration Check Required) countries. The figure of complaints in 2014, 2015 and 2016 was 17801, 16390 and 13132 respectively. This data was placed on November 17, 2016 before Rajya Sabha by Minister of State for External Affairs M J Akbar while replying to a question on complaints reported in Indian missions by Indians in the West Asia.

We can get an idea of Complaints received by Indian Missions in Gulf Region by observing on the below table:

  Qatar KSA Kuwait Oman UAE Bahrain
2016 2273 1676 2134   937   685   92 (till March 2016)
2015 4132 2921 3493 1097 1936 833
2014 3943 3732 3033 1358 1718 821
2013 3965 2866 2443 1748 1104 820
 mea.gov.in/Images/attach/lu3123_Annexure_I.pdf Accessed on 06/02/17

According to this government data, we have learnt that around 87 percent of the total complaints come from the Indian blue collar workers living in the Gulf nations. And it is also true that more than 87 percent of total Indian overseas blue collar workers, who have ECR passport, are deployed in the six Gulf nations. So, the figure of complaints from Gulf region is not extremely shocking as it is being presented in some Indian media reports, and as per my understanding, it is reasonably in a proportionate manner when we compare it with all the ECR countries in terms of the Indian migrant workers living there.

The new system which was introduced to cope with the complaints in order to enhance the betterment of Indian workers living abroad, by roping in various stockholders i.e., Indian Missions, Foreign Employers (FEs), Emigrants and Recruiting Agents (RAs) on a single platform in order to act swiftly and effectively during emergency. It requires all the foreign employers to register in the eMigrate system. This made compulsory for the entire foreign employers of Indian blue collar workers to fill in a registration application which is then vetted by the respective Indian mission. Now by using only this system, any foreign employer can raise the demand for Indian blue collar workers and seek a permit to recruit Indians in online manner either directly or through recruiting agents. The system was implemented in different phases; on 21st May 2015 it was introduced and partially implemented and finally it was fully implemented on the first day of April 2016.

Alongside introducing this system, New Delhi also made a big decision in recent years by bringing a new guideline for Foreign Employers (FEs), urging a higher pay for millions of Indian workers in the Gulf. India, in this way, coerced the Gulf rich countries to raise the wages of its workers in a drive to earn more billions of dollars in fresh income. Complying with the government’s campaign for much higher pay, Indian diplomats in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates sharply increased the minimum salaries for Indian workers at private and public firms in the region. For instance, in Saudi Arabia, the Indian embassy increased the recommended minimum salary to 1,700 riyals a month which was 1200 riyals earlier. In the UAE, the minimum wage for some category of Indian blue-collar workers rose to 1,500 dirham from 1,200 dirham. (To see all the categories of minimum referral wages please visit: https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/preMrwSearch.action). Earlier, it was anticipated that due to India’s role as a top labor supplier to the region, its drive cannot be totally ignored by foreign employers and recruiters, and if India’s efforts to secure higher pay succeed, they could boost its economy by earning more remittance, as Indian migrants send much of their salary back at home. In the last few years, India received every year around $70 billion as remittance from its workers around the world, in which the Gulf nations accounted for 52%. But at the same time, it was also predicted that there might be a backlash and India’s labor industry might also suffer heavily, which would ultimately affect India’s remittance that contributes around four percent to the GDP of India.

These two new phenomena that emerged viz a viz, India’s workforce for the Gulf region in last two to three year, have deeply affected the flow of Indian workers into the Gulf labor market, and their strength in the Gulf region dwindled significantly, especially in Saudi Arabia where it registered sharp decline in the last two years. Before going into the detail of the reasons behind this sharp decline in India’s workers going into Gulf region, let us have a look at the data available on MEA’s website for the year 2016 in comparison with last two year.

  UAE KSA Qatar Kuwait Oman Bahrain Total
2014 224037 329882 75983 80420 51317 14207 7,75,846
2015 225512 306642 59340 66543 85028 15619 7,58,684
2016 163731 165356 30619 72402 63224 11964 5,07,296
Decline  (in 2016) -61781 -141286 -28721 +5859 -21804 -3655 -251388
https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action Accessed on 07/02/17

As we compare 2016 with 2015, we find in each Gulf countries a sharp decline in number of Indian workers joining the Gulf labor force except Kuwait (But in comparison with 2014, Kuwait is also in a declining status). In total, we could not send 2, 51,388 migrant workers to GCC countries in 2016 in comparison with 2015. But the surprising fact is that the highest downfall is in Saudi Arabia where this figure further registered fall to around one and half lakh in just one year! It’s unprecedented decline of Indian blue collar workers in the Gulf especially in KSA, though we had already started facing a continuous slump since 2014.

Causes of Decline in India’s Share of Gulf Migrants’ Employment

As per research, this situation developed mainly due to two factors; Minimum Referral Wages and eMigrate lengthy procedure, that were basically designed and developed for the benefit of Indian migrant workers. But they have created an unsavory situation for millions of Indian blue collar workers who are already serving in the Gulf countries and mainly for those potential Indian migrant workers who want to join the Gulf workforce.

  1. Minimum Referral Wages (MRW): In recent years, the Government of India has fixed a minimum referral wages to regulate the wages of Indian migrant workers employed in different occupations (specially for carpenters, masons, drivers, fitters, nurses and domestic workers) in countries falling under the category of “emigration check required” (ECR). The ECR system is unique to India, whereby different categories of passports are made for those who have different educational qualifications. ECR passport holders need to obtain an Emigration Clearance Certificate from the Protector of Emigrants of the Ministry of External Affairs to travel for the purpose of work to one of 18 designated countries for which the ECR is required.

This minimum referral wage rate was put forward to serve as a reference to the major constituents of labor migration process i.e. the recruiting agencies, employers and potential migrants. The major rationale for putting this concept, as stated by the Ministry of External Affairs , is “to ensure that an Indian [migrant] worker is not put to a disadvantageous position by the [foreign employer] by unilaterally fixing wages, which might be much less than the prevailing wages in the host country as well as in India”. As Y S Kataria, a spokesperson for the Ministry of External Affairs at that time when this guideline was issued, told Reuters: “We want the Indian workforce to be paid higher salaries. Inflation, the value of the Indian currency and a rise in the cost of living in the Gulf were the factors that led to the decision.”

Usually it has been witnessed in different parts of the world that the operation of a referral wage has significant implications – both for migration flow and migration outcomes. In India, the implications are much more evident because a prescribed minimum referral wage is considered here a precondition for providing clearances in the context of migration of persons falling into the ECR category. In other words, migration is possible only if the employment contract of ECR persons specify monthly wages at least equal to the minimum referral wage in the relevant occupational category.

Among other origin countries that send the workers to the Gulf region, India’s referral wages are the highest as cited by International Labor Organization (ILO) in a study named ‘MINIMUM REFERRAL WAGES FOR INTERNATIONAL MIGRANT WORKERS FROM INDIA: AN ASSESSMENT’ (S K Sasikumar and Seeta Sharma, September 2016) . Therefore, from the day one, this regulation was challenged, criticized and had met bitter resistance by the recruiting agents and foreign employers in all the six destination GCC countries. Ironically, the two countries at that time had threatened to reduce their Indian workforces and hire more, lower-paid workers from Bangladesh, Pakistan and Nepal instead. In 2014, managing director of UAE-based recruitment agency ‘Overseas Labour Supply’, Mohammed Jindran had hinted of possible fallout of this guideline and said “Of course it will encourage Gulf companies to look at Bangladesh and Pakistan as more viable destinations to get migrant workers.” Furthermore, many experts of the labor migration affairs who have been much critical of this regulation, had argued at that time, that the referral wages are fixed so high for Indian migrants, and  that’s why this step is discouraging employers in destination countries from recruiting Indian workers.

Some officials in GCC nations have also expressed displeasure because –in their views – this regulation was neither adopted by following commonly specified criteria in various Gulf countries, nor have these rates been recommended by any committee with relevant stakeholders’ participation.

After this discussion, we are now well-positioned to judge that what is the role of this hike in minimum referral wages in reducing Indian migrant workers to the Gulf region. And also we can easily guess from where these Gulf nations fulfilled their needs of employment. Obviously, it was mainly Pakistan and Bangladesh from where the Gulf countries hired workers, only because they were available on a much lower rate than India. We will discuss later how many migrant workers have Pakistan and Bangladesh sent to the Gulf nations particularly in 2015 and 2016, and we will compare it with India’s share.

  1. eMigrate lengthy procedure: As we have already discussed about this system in length, we are not going into that detail. The purpose to mention it again here is to examine how and why this system has caused so much decline in India’s migrants’ employment in GCC countries. This project which was actually aimed to protect Indian laborers from frauds and to ensure minimum wages to them, has not worked in their favor, as foreign employers have switched over to hiring laborers from Bangladesh and Pakistan. Because, The Gulf-based employers are not quite tech-savvy, and they are generally known for not having much awareness about modern technology especially computers to fulfill such burdensome formalities and emigration processes.

The government’s intention to protect interests of Indian workers cannot be disputed but the bureaucratic procedures were bound to defeat the purpose. Because, the bureaucracy, while preparing this system, did not realize why a foreign employer would take so much pain and headache to hire Indian workers when it is available on less wages in other countries without any such troublesome procedure?

There are many other things that led to this fallout. One of them is that in initial stage of its launch, eMigrate online system was quite slow. It could only clear around 8000 passports per month. Whereas under the previous system named “System Automation Initiative” (SAI) the ministry was able to clear up to 40,000 passports a month. This caused much delay in clearance of passports for several months and in just few months more than 1 lakh passports had piled up at the 10 Protector of Emigrants (POEs) offices in the country, and due to this delay, thousands of visas got expired. This was a huge loss for the employers, because they spend thousands of Riyal and Dirham to obtain employment’s visa in their country. So, the delay in passport clearance, technical faults in the eMigrate system and expiration of visas annoyed the foreign employers, and finally many of them made their mind to give the India’s share of Gulf employment to some other countries.

Who got benefited?

There is a famous proverb among the Arabs “one man’s loss is another man’s gain”. It means when one person or a country loses something, another person or country gets it. It’s a natural phenomena, in other words, we can describe it as ‘someone’s defeat becomes another person’s victory’. The same thing happened in this case; India lost a large chunk of Gulf employments, and Pakistan, Bangladesh and some other countries managed to catch it.

Let’s study the case of Saudi Arabia which is facing a severe downfall in Indian migrant workers. In 2016, as mentioned earlier, it was the highest downfall of around 1.5 lakh of Indian workers in Saudi Arabia alone.

Was this decline genuine and justified one, and was it also reflected in statistical reports of other countries that send blue collar workers to the Gulf region?

In recent year, many news reports stated that due the low oil prices, political instability in the region, ISIS and Saudi’s war with Yemeni Huthis, the economy of the Gulf countries, especially Saudi economy is crumbling greatly. The politicians and rulers in the region have started talking about budget cuts and the need to curb subsidies and so on. This is the reality nobody can afford to deny. However, a question arises here, has it also affected the number of migrant workers going into the Gulf workforce in general and Saudi Arabia in particular?

The leading English-language daily newspaper from Jeddah ‘Saudi Gazette’ has published a news report on November 28, 2016. The newspaper cites in its report that according to the General Authority for Statistics (GAS), there has been a 12.17 percent increase in the number of expatriates till the third quarter survey for this year. The GAS survey further showed that the number of expatriates in the Kingdom reached 11.6 million by mid 2016. In 2015 there were only 10.2 million expats in the Kingdom.

This report clearly indicates that the inflow of migrant workers into Saudi workforce never interrupted, rather there was 12.17 percent increase in the number of expatriates joining the Saudi workforce. But from where these new migrant workers have arrived in KSA?

To solve this complex situation I searched statistical data on the net regarding the other countries that also send blue collar workers to the Gulf region. Here, I finally ended up by visiting Bangladesh and Pakistan’s websites dedicated to overseas employment’s regulation and statistics. 1) ‘Bureau of Manpower, Employment and Training (BMET)’ http://www.bmet.gov.bd/BMET/index. This is Bangladesh’s website which is engaged for over all planning and implementation of the strategies for proper utilization of manpower of the country. 2) ‘Bureau of Emigration & Overseas Employment’ http://www.beoe.gov.pk/. This is Pakistan’s website which is engaged in collection, compilation and tabulation of emigration data of all those Pakistanis who proceed abroad for employment purpose. In addition to this, it also maintains a comprehensive statistical record of all the migrant workers since 1971, which provides basis for planning and policy formulation by the Economic Division and other interested government departments.

It was a shocker for me when I found a sharp increase in the number of migrant workers from both the countries going into Saudi workforce in the year of 2015 and 2016. The things will become clearer when we observe the following table:

Migration Inflow from Pakistan and Bangladesh into Saudi Arabia
Year Pakistan Bangladesh
2011 2,22,247    15,039
2012 3,58,560    21,232
2013 2,70,502    12,654
2014 3,12,489    10,657
2015 5,22,750    58,270
2016 4,62,598 1,43,913
  http://www.beoe.gov.pk/reports-and-statistics Accessed on 08/02/17 http://www.bmet.gov.bd/BMET/viewStatReport.action?reportnumber=20

Accessed on 08/02/17

Till 2014, (the year around which India introduced two new regulations for Indian migrant workers), Pakistan and Bangladesh were sending around 3 lakh and around 10 thousands workers respectively to the Saudi Arabia. But all of a sudden in 2015-16, Pakistan registered sharp rise to 5 lakh while Bangladesh witnessed increase to 60 thousand in 2015 and 1.4 lakh in 2016.

In other words, the share of Bangladesh in Saudi migrant workforce was constant around 2 percent for many past years until 2014, however in 2015 and 2016 it rose unexpectedly up to 7 and 19 percent respectively. As for Pakistan’s share is concerned, it was always less than of India’s, however, only in 2015 and 2016 Pakistan overtook India and unpredictably reached 60 percent from the previous average 45 percent per year.

See the chart below to comprehend it more precisely:111qq

This chart and the previous table tell us that Pakistan and Bangladesh have not only eaten up our share in the last 2 years but they have also managed to fetch all new prospects of Gulf migrants’ employment. That’s why their shares have gone far ahead of us.

There is another aspect to this episode to ponder upon, first of all let us see these two pie charts and compare them:com

It’s also worthwhile to mention that the biggest gainer was Bangladesh, as it was sending only 2 percent workers to Saudi Arabia till 2014. But in a period of only two years they have achieved more than ten folds increase, and deployed 21 percent workers in KSA. This is a marvelous achievement for any country in such a short period of time. As far as Pakistan is concerned, it is already having a big share in KSA workforce, however in the new emerged scenario, they (Pak and Bangladesh) also succeeded in increasing their share in KSA by approximately 25 percent of their overall share in the same period. Unfortunately, the saddest part of this story stuck with India, which was sending around 50 percent workers to KSA till 2014, but all of sudden it dipped down to merely 19 percent in 2016.

This is a massive financial loss to Indian economy; the beneficiaries remain our two neighbors, Pakistan and Bangladesh. So, in this way it looks like a clear surgical strike on India’s remittance that contributes 4 percent to its GDP. The Ministry of External Affairs says that according to the World Bank’s statistics, in recent years India received USD 70 billion in remittance from Indians around the world. It is the highest amount of remittance in the world received by any country, and it is almost three times the total FDI coming into the India. So, we can easily understand the value and significance of this USD 70 billion remittance in India’s economy. Out of this USD 70 billion remittance around 52 per cent came from Gulf expatriates, and among these Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia stands second with approximately 30 percent share followed by UAE with 38 percent share. If we have lost 50 percent of two recent year’s probable employments from KSA in particular, and 35 percent of two recent year’s probable employments from all Gulf nations in general alongside the steep slump in oil prices, it means we have already headed to face a heavy loss in our overall remittance in the financial years of 2015-2016 and 2016-2017.

Intensity of losses

Due to this sudden decline in India’s migrant workers to Gulf region, the loss that has been inflicted on Indian workers, their families and on overall Indian economy is huge. But, unfortunately nobody from the government side has taken notice of it. Even, in recently held 14th Pravasi Bhartiya Diwas ceremony on January 9, 2017 in Bengaluru, the issue has not even been mentioned, let alone the discussion to find out the way to come out of this self-created mess.

In 2016, we were short of 2, 51,388 jobs in comparison with 2015 as for as the Gulf region is concerned. Let us assume in a hypothetical way that if these jobs were given to Indian workers, then what would be its positive impact on their life, their families and India’s economy? Obviously it would be a great and very affirmative success for them.  Or if these jobs were not given to Indian workers, then what would be its negative impact on their life, their families and India’s economy? The answer to this hypothetical question is quite discouraging and disturbing in nature. I am trying here to give its answer in an assumptive way. It is an open secret that each Indian worker manages to send back home around twenty thousand per month from the Gulf countries. Nobody can reject this figure. We know quite well that many of them send more than this amount but I have carefully chosen twenty thousand to make my point flawless and enough stronger to argue. If we multiply this amount with all the jobs that we lost last year (251388 × 20000 = 502,77,60,000), the amount would be more than 500 crore per month, and if we multiply it with 12 months (502,77,60,000 × 12 = 6033,31,20,000) the amount would be more than 6 thousand crore per annum.

From this assumption, I want to point out that this 6 thousand crore is not a small amount. It could light up more than a million of Indians’ households back in India. If the new emigration system was as user-friendly as was the previous one, India could not only retain these jobs but also could have managed to catch more new jobs in 2015 and 2016 than of 2014, I mean more than 7.50 lakh per year, because it has been reported from many authentic sources in the Gulf media that many Gulf countries raised migrants’ employment quota in 2015 and 2016, which was by and large exploited by competing labor market of Pakistan and Bangladesh.

These workers, who could not manage to go abroad, now became liability of the government of India to feed them with subsidized foods and provide them jobs at home. India is already facing huge deficit in jobs’ opportunities in the last few years. According to the fifth annual employment-unemployment survey at all-India level, about 77 per cent of the households in India were reported to be having no regular wage/salaried person.  The Indian Express, in a report on September 29, 2016, stated that in 2015-16, India’s unemployment rate is highest since 2010. This figure rings an alarm for the BJP-led NDA government at the Centre, which has taken a series of steps such as ‘Make in India’ to create jobs in the country with a very fascinating slogan of “Be a job creator, not a job seeker”. But it is very agonizing to find our government reeling through dire economic straits. Moreover, it flummoxes me as to what stopped the Modi government from managing its overseas employment rules that facilitate jobs for the Indian workers in the GCC countries.

Most Affected States

One of India’s leading business newspapers, “Business Standard”, published a report on January 19, 2017, stating that under the government’s eMigrate system more blue collar workers travelled to ECR countries in 2016 from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar than any other states in India. As you can see their number in the table below:

Top Ten Indian States with Most Emigrants going to ECR countries in 2016
State Number
Uttar Pradesh 1,43,737
Bihar   7,6384
West Bengal   5,3348
Tamil Nadu   42,541
Rajasthan   35,172
Punjab   31,861
Andhra Pradesh   2,7005
Kerala   2,5166
Telangana   2,5079
Orissa   1,2320
https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action?StrFileFormat=.pdf Accessed on 11/02/2017

The newspaper also quoted Protector General of Emigrants (PGE) M.C. Luther saying that shares of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in overall Indian migrant workers in ECR countries in 2016 are 30 and 15 percent respectively, leaving behind Tamil Nadu and Kerala with only 7 and 6 per cent respectively, whereas these two states (Tamil Nadu and Kerala) were traditionally considered as the main source states of such workers in the past.

This information is partially true. It is factually correct that UP and Bihar topped the list in 2016. But the two states did not go ahead of all other states for the first time, rather 2016 was the third consecutive year since 2014, when these two states were on top of the list. Furthermore, I want to make it clear here that Uttar Pradesh has been solely on top of the list of Indian states with most number of migrants to Gulf countries since 2009 till the date. Kerala topped the list only in 2008.  I am unable to understand the motive behind bringing this figure as an achievement of 2016 when it was already achieved in previous two years continuously.

As per my study, though UP and Bihar have managed to deploy the maximum number of migrants in comparision with other states in 2016, the two states also have suffered the most in terms of decline in their share of blue collar workers, and it is only because of the new eMigrate system and hike in minimum referral wages. Let’s have a look on the strength of migrants that the two states were sending in ECR countries since 2010.mm

https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/preViewPdfGenRptAction.action Accessed on 11/02/2017

Since 2010 onward, there was a considerable growth in the outflow of migrant workers from these two states (as shown in the chart) in particular and from all other Indian states in general (for detail visit: https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/preViewPdfGenRptAction.action). In 2010 UP and Bihar sent 1,40,501 and 60,414 respectively, which was in a period of 6 year reached 2,36,495 for UP and 1,07,285 for Bihar in 2015. But in 2016 both UP and Bihar faced a massive decline in migrant blue collar workers going to ECR countries. From 2,36,495 in 2015 Uttar Pradesh plunged to 1,43,737 in 2016 (decline of -92,758 in a year) and Bihar from 1,07,285 went down to 76,384 (decline of -30,901 in a year). If we go through the data available on MEA Overseas Employment Division’s website www.emigrate.gov.in, we will experience that the decline is epidemic in all other Indian states, but, yes Uttar Pradesh and Bihar suffered the most because they were sending previously the most. See the table below to get an idea of decline in eleven major Indian states in 2016.

Decline of Blue Collar Workers in Major Eleven India’s State in 2016
State 2015 2016 Decline
Uttar Pradesh 2,36,495 1,43,737 -92758
Bihar 1,07,285   7,6384 -30901
West Bengal    64,205   5,3348 -10857
Tamil Nadu   73,016   42,541 -30475
Rajasthan   45,998   35,172 -10826
Punjab   46,491   31,861 -14630
Andhra Pradesh   45,232   2,7005 -18227
Kerala   43,133   2,5166 -17967
Telangana   36,312   2,5079 -11233
Orissa   15,257   1,2320   -2937
MAHARASHTRA   15,262   10,445   -4817
https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action?StrFileFormat=.pdf

https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/generatedPdfReportAction.action  Accessed on 11/02/2017

 

The table shows that UP (-92758), Bihar (-30901), Tamil Nadu (-30475) are the three main victims of the new regulation and new system in India’s emigration procedure.

Uttar Pradesh and Bihar were mainly affected in the deployment of migrant workers in Saudi Arabia where both the states were enjoying a large share of migrant workforce for last couple of years. See the table below:

Decline in UP and Bihar’s Blue Collar Workers in KSA only
  2015 2016 Decline
Uttar Pradesh 1,28,251 59,799 -68,452
Bihar   42,956 24,005 -18,951
https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/fetchECReport.action?StrFileFormat=.pdf

https://emigrate.gov.in/ext/generatedPdfReportAction.action  Accessed on 11/02/2017

Out of UP’s decline of (-92,758) in 2016, -68,452 were downfall in Saudi Arabia, and out of Bihar’s decline of (-30901) in 2016, -18,951 were downfall in Saudi Arabia. The point here is that these two states were mostly affected because their share in Saudi Arabia went down unexpectedly.

These all the losses in overseas migrant blue collar workers that India faced during last two years in the Gulf nations, particularly in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Way Forward

Indeed, it is pertinent that Indian government and its institutions concerned with emigration related affairs, ponder over its outmoded policies and regulations that remain the main factors in the downfall of India’s blue collar workers in GCC countries, mainly the KSA.

Here, I would like to point out some uneasy areas which the government can think of for improving the whole emigration clearance system of blue collar workers for the Gulf workforce that boasts of potentials to boost India’s economy by providing overseas jobs in the Gulf region primarily in Saudi Arabia.

  • Government should scrap the provision of employer’s registration on emigrate system and should bring back the previous procedure of emigration clearance of workers for deployment in GCC countries, that was in practice before 2015.
  • On Minimum Referral Wages (MRW), I would suggest that government should give some room for negotiation to the main stakeholders to reach a common ground.

At the end, I would like to mention it again that the eMigrate system, as claimed by the government, was put in place to curb malpractices in this business and to act swiftly and effectively at the time when any complaint received by the Indian Missions. The intention of bringing such system in practice is commendable. But the redressal procedure of any complaint of migrant workers even after introduction of new system is as it was in previous one.  Then what is the purpose of bringing a new system, when its objective was being achieved by the old one?

In a reply to a question ‘whether Government has received complaints of physical and sexual abuse of migrant domestic workers in Gulf countries in the last year’ if so, the details thereof and action taken by Government’ dated December 15, 2016, the minister of state in the ministry of external affairs Gen. V. K. Singh (retd) said in RAJYA SABHA

“………..The complaints received by the Missions are dealt with on priority basis by taking up the same with the local employer, the agent in India and the local Government authorities for resolution of the complaints……….. If the emigrant is recruited through a registered Recruiting Agent, Show-cause notice is served on registered Recruiting Agent against whom complaints are received and the Recruiting Agent is directed to settle/resolve the complaint.”

According to the statement of the minister, in new eMigrate system; the Recruiting Agent is again solely responsible to settle/resolve the complaint as it was in previous system. So, if the Recruiting Agent is alone responsible of every good and bad thing to the worker, then what is the need to put a pressure of eMigrate registration on the Foreign Employer without attaching any liability and accountability with him towards the new system and Indian government? Here, my humble suggestion to the government of India is that if we sincerely want to avoid further downfall of Indian migrant workers in GCC countries, the formalities of employer’s registration on eMigrate system and uploading of demand letter, power of attorney and employment contract from employer’s side should come to an end as soon as possible, for he has already started hiring workers easily from Pakistan and Bangladesh without following any such formality. Earlier, the uploading of demand letter, the power of attorney and employment contract were carried out by the Recruiting Agent after receiving them directly from the Foreign Employer. So, that procedure should be restored without any further delay to achieve back the prestige and advantage that India was enjoying in the Gulf countries before 2014.

Abdul Sattar Edhi; The Real Hero of Pakistani Society

Abdul Sattar Edhi; The Real Hero of Pakistani Society

edhijanazaBy M. Basheer Ahmed, M.D.

“They ask you, [O Muhammad], what they should spend.  Say, ‘Whatever you spend of good is [to be] for parents and relatives and orphans and the needy and the traveler.  And whatever you do of good—indeed, Allah is Knowing of it.’” (2:215)

Humanity is a relationship between one another with compassion, empathy, kindness and treating each other with dignity. All religions teach humanity, however we do not spend enough time in serving the needs of the impoverished and needy.

Abdul Sattar Edhi, a Celebrated Pakistani philanthropist died in Karachi on July, 8th 2016, left an example of a true Muslim upholding the basic principle of Islam to serve Humanity, facing the challenges posed by Muslim fanatics and feudal, militaristic and capitalistic government.

He is considered as one of the greatest HUMANITARIANS. He passed away at age 92 but he would live for all time to come into the hearts, minds and prayers of countless poor, needy and helpless people. He dedicated his life to humanity and social services.  Edhi gave anything and everything he had throughout his life. And even after his death he donated his corneas to give eyesight to a blind. A successful cornea transplant was done at the Sind Institute of Urology & Transplantation (SIUT), Karachi.

Mr. Edhi was born in Gujarat started his welfare mission in 1951, when he opened his first home for homeless in Karachi Pakistan. Edhi Trust is a nonprofit social welfare organization providing services to indigents in Pakistan and other parts of the world. This charitable organization has hundreds of welfare centers a network of free nursing homes, shelters for abused women, children and addicts, orphanages, food distribution, centers and several charitable hospitals where free treatment was offered. The Edhi foundation runs the world’s largest ambulances service with a fleet of 1500 vehicles and 24 hours’ service. The Edhi education program provides traditional and vocational education including pharmacy, driving, reading, writing and para medical training. He single-handedly started the Edhi foundation which untill today carries on its operations through private donations

Abdul Sattar Edhi is the only man who consistently stood up for the poor throughout the history of Pakistan. He didn’t shy away from burying the dead, no matter what their political, religious, or sectarian affiliation.

The New York Times termed Edhi ‘Pakistan’s Father Teresa’ in the obituary published on July 8. His name became “synonymous with charitable causes” and he achieved “an almost saintly status” in a country that is hungry for role models and heroes. The Wall Street Journal termed him “a philanthropist whom many Pakistanis considered a national icon”

Mr. Edhi was awarded Lenin Peace Prize in 1988,  Nishan-e-Imtiaz in 1989 by Pakistan government, wolf and Bhogio Peace Award in 2005 by Italy.  He was Nominated several times for the Nobel peace prize.

He refused to be used by fanatic Muslim groups for their political purposes. He condemned sectarianism and condemned violence in the name of Islam. He was called a kafir and his life was threatened. When they objected why he was picking up the bloodied bodies of Hindus and Christians he replied that helping humanity was greater than any religion “my ambulance has no religion”

Abdul Sattar Edhi leaves behind him a glorious legacy. May God Almighty grant his soul eternal peace.

Picture shows Edhi Sahib with my classmate of Dow medical college Karachi, Dr. Adib-ul-Hasan Rizvi, founder & director of SIUT.

 

The writer is CHAIRMAN EMERITUS, MCC for Human Services, Education, Research and Service to the Humanity is the Greatest Worship