by admin | May 25, 2021 | Economy, Markets, News
By Rituraj Baruah and Porisma P.Gogoi,
Mumbai : Forecast of normal monsoon rains, along with healthy earnings in the IT sector, lifted the Indian equity markets during the week ended Friday.
Besides, supportive global cues, coupled with expectations of healthy corporate earnings, led the two equity indices — the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 — to extend their rise for the fourth consecutive week.
However, higher crude oil prices, along with a weak rupee and heavy selling pressure in banking stocks — triggered by a likely hawkish stand of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its next monetary policy review — trimmed some gains of the benchmark indices, said market observers.
On a weekly basis, the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE rose by 222.93 points or 0.65 per cent to close at 34,415.58 points.
The wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed trade at 10,564.05 points — up 83.45 points or 0.80 per cent from its previous week’s close.
“Markets extended their winning streak to the fourth consecutive week on strong earnings from TCS (Tata Consultancy Services), Mindtree and Cyient which posted a better than expected quarterly numbers,” Prateek Jain, Director, Hem Securities, told IANS.
“Sentiments also got a boost from postive global clues and IMD’s (India Meteorological Department) forecast that India is likely to receive a normal monsoon in 2018, which further boosted sentiments,” said Jain.
Rahul Sharma, Senior Research Analyst, Equity99, said: “Investors’ sentiment also got a boost after India’s annual WPI-based inflation eased to 2.47 per cent in March, helped by a fall in food prices.”
“Positive global stocks also supported buying,” Sharma told IANS.
Official data released during market hours on Monday showed that India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation softened to 2.47 per cent in March from a rise of 2.48 per cent reported for February and acceleration of 5.11 per cent in the corresponding month of last year.
On the currency front, the rupee weakened by 92 paise to close at 66.13 against the dollar from its previous week’s close at 65.21.
“The Indian currency got hammered and sank to a 13-month low of 66.06 against the dollar (during the week) due to rapid surge in global crude oil prices and fiscal deficit worries,” D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and MD of SMC Investments and Advisors, told IANS.
“The minutes of the last (previous) meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) indicated the RBI may shift to a hawkish monetary stance in June. At present, market participants looked little worried that the commodity will continue appreciating to new highs, which would spell trouble for Indian markets,” Aggarwal added.
On the investment front, provisional figures from the stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors sold scrips worth Rs 2,821.24 crore, while the domestic institutional investors purchased stocks worth Rs 2,124.16 crore during the week.
Figures from the National Securities Depository (NSDL) revealed that foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) divested equities worth Rs 3,096.62 crore, or $471.78 million, during April 16-20.
“The top sectoral gainers were IT, metal, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) and realty indices and the major losers were PSU banks, energy and bank Nifty indices,” Deepak Jasani, Head, Retail Research, HDFC Securities, told IANS.
On Friday, shares of IT bellwether Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) rose nearly seven per cent to touch a new high of Rs 3,414 per share, on the back of its robust earnings taking its market capitalisation (m-cap) to over Rs 6.50 lakh crore or around $98 billion.
The top weekly Sensex gainers were: TCS (up 8.11 per cent at Rs 3,406.40); Bharti Airtel (up 6.07 per cent at Rs 400.75); ITC (up 5.81 per cent at Rs 275.95); Power Grid (up 4.94 per cent at Rs 207.30); and Hindustan Unilever (up 3.96 per cent at Rs 1,465.50).
The losers were: Axis Bank (down 6.65 per cent at Rs 505.85); Tata Motors (DVR) (down 5.84 per cent at Rs 190.95); Tata Motors (down 5.72 per cent at Rs 336.25); State Bank of India (down 3.90 per cent at Rs 241.40); and IndusInd Bank (down 2.42 per cent at Rs 1,814.00).
(Riuraj Baruah can be contacted at rituraj.b@ians.in and Porisma P.Gogoi at porisma.g@ians.in)
—IANS
by admin | May 25, 2021 | Economy, Markets, News
By Rohit Vaid,
Mumbai : The ongoing earnings results season, along with the heightened geo-political tensions in the Middle East and a key macro-economic inflation data point are expected to influence the Indian equity markets’ trajectory during the coming week, analysts opined.
“Next week the focus will again be on earnings, with IndusInd Bank setting the tone for bank earnings, especially on the fresh loan loss provisions,” Devendra Nevgi, Founder and Principal Partner, Delta Global Partners, told IANS.
“The oil prices would be watched closely for any flare-up due to geo-political (events). Some of the macro-data has been encouraging, which would keep the sentiment buoyant.”
Companies like ACC, Mindtree, Cyient and Tata Consultancy Services are expected to announce their fourth quarter (Q4) earning results in the coming week.
“The earnings recovery was elusive for the last few years, even though the market scaled new heights at every interval,” Vinod Nair, Head Of Research at Geojit Financial Services, told IANS.
“However, the last two quarters have given some ray of hope to investors for a pick-up in earnings given better-than-expected GDP growth and normalisation in GST implementation. Q4 PAT growth expectation for Nifty50 and Sensex companies is around 15 per cent YoY.”
According to D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of SMC Investments & Advisors: “The upturn in the economy and a favourable base effect notwithstanding, the Q4FY18 earnings, particularly from FMCG companies, are expected to see a healthy growth.”
“Nifty is expected to move in the range of 10,300-10,600 points and Bank Nifty to trade in the range of 24,700-25,300 points.”
Besides the Q4 results, investors will look out for the upcoming macro-economic data points — Wholesale Price Index — on Monday. The Balance of Trade figures will also influence sentiments. The trade data was released after the close of market hours on Friday.
On technical levels, the underlying trend of the National Stock Exchange’s (NSE) Nifty50 remains bullish.
“Technically, the Nifty remains in uptrend and further upsides are likely once the immediate resistance of 10,618 points is taken out,” said Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research for HDFC Securities.
“Crucial support to watch for any weakness is at 10,276 points.”
Last week, the key Indian equity indices — the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 — rose for the third consecutive week as healthy macro-economic data as well as fading global trade war fears boosted investors’ sentiments.
Consequently, the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE surged by 565.68 points or 1.68 per cent to close at 34,192.65 points.
Similarly, the wider Nifty50 of the NSE)made healthy gains. It closed trade at 10,480.60 points — up 149 points or 1.44 per cent from its previous week’s close.
(Rohit Vaid can be contacted at rohit.v@ians.in )
—IANS
by admin | May 25, 2021 | Economy, Markets, News
By Porisma P. Gogoi,
Mumbai : Despite healthy macro-economic indicators, the Indian equity markets turned volatile and gave up gains during the week over prospects of political instability, along with the ongoing turmoil in the banking sector and weak global cues.
On a weekly basis, the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE slipped by 131.14 points or 0.39 per cent to close at 33,176 points.
The wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed trade at 10,195.15 points — down 31.7 points or 0.31 per cent from its previous week’s close.
“Domestic markets remained volatile amid sluggish global cues and trade war concerns, weighed by oil and technology stocks,” D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of SMC Investments and Advisors, told IANS.
“Also, the sentiments got further dented amid political upheaval after the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) formally decided to quit the NDA government. However, fertiliser stocks gained after the continuation of a government subsidy for urea,” said Aggarwal.
According to Gaurav Jain, Director at Hem Securities, robust industrial production growth in January coupled with the slowing down of retail inflation in February were among the major factors that propped up sentiments during the week.
Official data released during the week showed that India’s factory production growth in January stood at 7.5 per cent — double the 3.5 per cent recorded in the same month last year — while retail inflation for February eased down to 4.4 per cent.
“However, profit booking coupled with reports that the country’s monsoon could be below normal due to El Nino impact, caused some panic off-loading in the market towards the end of the week, erasing gains,” Jain told IANS.
“Political instability after TDP broke ties with the ruling NDA added to the woes. On the global front, traders are watching the tariff issue which is hogging the market sentiments,” he added.
On the currency front, the rupee strengthened by 24 paise to close at 64.93 against the US dollar from its previous week’s close at 65.17.
“Volatility has become the name of the game for equity markets in India of late and our expectations are that this may persist for some more time this year even as the structural uptrend in the market remains intact,” said Shibani Kurian, Senior Vice President and Head of Equity Research, Kotak Mutual Fund.
“During the week, market participants continued to grapple with news flow relating to the fraud at PNB (Punjab National Bank) and balance sheet stress for the banking system as a whole,” Kurian told IANS.
Provisional figures from the stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors FIIs purchased scrips worth Rs 6,288.23 crore and the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) worth Rs 202.69 crore during the week.
Figures from the National Securities Depository (NSDL) revealed that foreign portfolio investors invested in equities worth Rs 6,713.73 crore, or $324.81 million, during March 12-16.
The top weekly Sensex gainers were: Bharti Airtel (up 4.04 per cent at Rs 418.20); Wipro (up 3.70 per cent at Rs 295.75); Axis Bank (up 3.58 per cent at Rs 523.45); Yes Bank (up 3.11 per cent at Rs 312.90); and ICICI Bank (up 1.84 per cent at Rs 298.10).
The losers were: Coal India (down 8.53 per cent at Rs 278.70); Tata Consultancy Services (down 6.89 per cent at Rs 2,825.50); Kotak Bank (down 2.21 per cent at Rs 1,061); Larsen and Toubro (down 1.75 per cent at Rs 1,267.60); and Adani Ports (down 1.66 per cent at Rs 371.05).
(Porisma P. Gogoi can be contacted at porisma.g@ians.in)
—IANS
by admin | May 25, 2021 | Economy, Markets, News
Mumbai : Following a massive global sell-off, the Indian equity markets turned bearish for the second consecutive week — with the BSE Sensex dropping over a 1,000 points and the Nifty50 index over 300 points.
On a weekly basis, the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) tanked 1,060.99 points or 3.02 per cent to close trade at 34,005.76 points.
The wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) closed the week’s trade at 10,454.95 points — shedding 305.65 points or 2.84 per cent from its previous week’s close.
Since February 1, the BSE Sensex has shed around 1,900 points and the NSE Nifty over 500 points.
“In the week gone by, global stock market witnessed huge sell-off amid the fear of interest rates hike and this too sent the bond yields higher,” D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of SMC Investments and Advisors, told IANS.
“Back at home, the Union Budget 2018 verdict played a catalyst role and since then market has been tumbling down. Though market recovered and closed in green on Thursday but on Friday market closed red tracking lower Asian and US markets,” he added.
Aggarwal said in line with expectations, the Reserve Bank of India — in its final bi-monthly monetary policy review of the fiscal on Wednesday — kept key interest rate unchanged at 6 per cent with neutral stance, citing concerns about the inflationary push by rising global crude oil prices.
On the currency front, the rupee weakened by 34 paise to close at 64.40 against the US dollar from its last week’s close at 64.06.
Provisional figures from the stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors sold off scrips worth Rs 8,260.96 crore, while domestic institutional investors purchased scrips worth Rs 6,286.58 crore during the week.
Figures from the National Securities Depository (NSDL) revealed that foreign portfolio investors off-loaded equities worth Rs 4,738.66 crore, or $738.24 million, during February 5-9.
“The week gone by saw the Nifty correcting further. The Nifty ended with week-on-week losses of 2.84 per cent,” Deepak Jasani, Head, Retail Research, HDFC Securities, told IANS.
“Sectorally, the top gainers were the pharma, metal and media indices. The top losers were the Bank Nifty, infra, FMCG and auto indices,” he added.
The top weekly Sensex gainers were: Sun Pharma (up 5.72 per cent at Rs 582.65); Dr Reddy’s Lab (up 3.43 per cent at Rs 2,194.80); Coal India (up 2.84 per cent at Rs 300.45); Tata Steel (up 2.08 per cent at Rs 683.65); and Power Grid (up 0.36 per cent at Rs 193.20).
The losers were: Yes Bank (down 6.99 per cent at Rs 325.55); HDFC (down 6.84 per cent at Rs 1,773.20); Larsen and Toubro (down 6.01 per cent at Rs 1,329.35); IndusInd Bank (down 5.94 per cent at Rs 1,651.40); and Tata Consultancy Services (down 5.62 per cent at Rs 2,972.30).
—IANS
by admin | May 25, 2021 | Economy, Markets, News
By Rohit Vaid,
Mumbai : Announcements on capital expenditure, along with policy reforms and expected sops from the the Union Budget 2018-19, will determine the trajectory of the Indian equity markets in the coming week.
According to market observers, other themes for the trade week starting on January 29, will be macro-economic growth and select industrial production data points coupled with stock-specific movement due to the ongoing earnings result season.
“The budget remains critical, being the first one after GST (Goods and Services Tax) implementation and the last full year budget before the general elections in 2019,” Devendra Nevgi, Founder and Principal Partner, Delta Global Partners, told IANS.
“The balancing act for the Finance Minister on reining in the fiscal deficit, rural populism and growth-boosting measures (private capex) remain the key themes that will be watched closely.”
Parliament’s budget session will kick off with the presentation of the Economic Survey 2017-18 on Monday, January 29, followed by the Union Budget 2018-19 on February 1.
“With crude oil prices surging, fiscal deficit projections in the upcoming budget will be keenly watched. The budget is expected to dictate the future direction of markets from here on,” D.K. Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director of SMC Investments and Advisors, told IANS.
Apart from the budget, the week ahead will be heavily influenced by Q3 corporate earnings and the direction of foreign fund flows. Companies like HDFC, EIH, IndianOil, Piramal Enterprises, TVS Motor Company, ICICI Bank, L&T, NTPC, Vedanta, Titan Company, Bajaj Auto and Hindalco Industries are expected to announce their quarterly results in the coming week.
“Next week, till the Union Budget announcement, markets are expected to be driven by corporate earnings and the buoyant global markets as FPI (foreign portfolio investors) flows remain strong,” Nevgi said.
Besides quarterly results, macro-economic data points like GDP figures for 2017-18, Index of Eight Core Industries (ECI) figures and the country’s fiscal deficit data up to December will be keenly watched by investors.
In addition, monthly automobile sales figures and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) manufacturing and services data will become other major sentiment drivers.
On the currency front, the rupee’s strength will be arrested by higher crude oil prices, “as it will make rupee less attractive”.
“Next week, we expect USD/INR to trade within a range of 63.30 to 63.80. Rupee is expected to remain weak against the euro and pound,” Anindya Banerjee, Deputy Vice President for Currency and Interest Rates with Kotak Securities, told IANS.
The Indian currency had strengthened by 30 paise during the week ended January 25, to close at Rs 63.55 against the US dollar from its last week’s close at Rs 63.85.
In terms of technical charts, the underlying uptrend in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) Nifty is expected to continue.
“Technically, with the Nifty surging higher to new record highs, the underlying intermediate uptrend remains intact,” Deepak Jasani, Head – Retail Research, HDFC Securities, told IANS.
“Further upsides are likely once the immediate resistances of 11,110 points are taken out. Weakness could emerge if the supports of 10,881 points are broken.”
Last week, key indices made gains on the back of revival in corporate earnings, along with the country’s healthy economic growth outlook projected by the International Monetary Fund and massive inflow of foreign funds.
Consequently, the 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange closed at 36,050.44 points — up 538.86 points or 1.52 per cent from its previous week’s close.
Similarly, the NSE Nifty closed higher by 174.95 points or 1.60 per cent to 11,069.65 points.
(Rohit Vaid can be contacted at rohit.v@ians.in)
—IANS
