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Indian cotton likely to see uptick in coming days: CAI chief

Indian cotton likely to see uptick in coming days: CAI chief

cottonNew Delhi : Indian cotton is poised to see more uptick in the coming days and the overall price trend in the ongoing marketing season 2017-18 (October-September) is likely to remain firm on high demand from local ginners and exporters alike, Cotton Association of India (CAI) President Atul Ganatara said.

Domestic cotton prices were down at the local bourse and spot markets on Monday even though prices shot up considerably last week by tracking firmer cues from international markets, and therefore correction was seen at a higher level, Ganatara told IANS on phone from Mumbai.

However, there is the least possibility of any further big price fall as the CAI has revised its estimates for cotton demand and supply in the country on the lower side after getting crop reports from all its centres, the CAI chief added.

The CAI pegged India’s cotton output in 2017-18 at 362 lakh bales, five lakh bales down from the previous monthly estimates of 367 lakh bales in its Crop Committee meeting on March 9.

As per the minutes of the meeting released on Monday, cotton production is down by two lakh bales each in Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh, and an estimated one lakh bales elsewhere.

According to a CAI statement, exports have increased from the earlier estimated 55 lakh bales to 60 lakh bales because India’s cotton is presently the cheapest in the world and hence commands a good demand.

By March 31, Indian cotton exports may cross 45 lakh bales.

Besides, Indian mills consumption has increased by 10 lakh bales from 320 lakh bales to 330 lakh bales in the new estimated balance sheet given out by the CAI.

This increase in consumption is because of 35-40 lakh new spindles set up in ginning mills in Gujarat, where cotton consumption is likely to be 65 lakh bales this year.

The carry forward in the balance sheet for 2017-18 is going to be reduced to 22 lakh bales from the earlier estimated 42 lakh bales as of September 30, the CAI said.

According to the CAI, the reduction of 20 lakh bales in carry-forward stocks is due to an increase in consumption by 10 lakh bales by Indian mills and rise in exports by 5 lakh bales.

Also, output has been lowered by five lakh bales from last month’s forecast.

This reduction is based on talks with cotton associations of these states, mainly due to pink bollworms problem and lack of water in these areas, the CAI said.

By 3.25 p.m. on Monday, cotton for delivery in March was Rs 210 or 1 per cent down at Rs 20,730 per bale (170 kg) at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX). Similarly, the April expiry contract was up Rs 200 or 0.94 per cent at Rs 20,990 per bale.

Spot prices also declined across the country, tracking weak cues from futures.

Meanwhile, China has started selling cotton from its reserve stocks in the state-owned warehouses. Website cnctton.com reported on Monday that China State Reserve sold 14,119.18 tonnes of cotton out of 15,000.26 tonnes put up for first auction on Monday in the current season.

According to Ganatara, China had liquidated 1.5 crore bales of cotton last year with the same target for the ongoing season. Since stocks of cotton in China are not sufficient to fulfil their mills’ demand, their import demand is expected to rise by the end of the season.

—IANS

Indian cotton likely to see uptick in coming days: CAI chief

Widespread use of unapproved GM cotton shows official tolerance of illegality

CottonBy Vivian Fernandes,

New Delhi : The Andhra governments flip-flop on extensive cultivation of unapproved genetically-modified (GM) herbicide-tolerant (HT) cotton seems to be symptomatic of the complacency which has infected even regulatory bodies and research institutions.

In February, the Central Institute of Cotton Research (CICR), (Nagpur) had found six of nine cottonseed hybrids testing positive for herbicide tolerance. It did not bother to inform the state government until this month, and that too, only when Maharashtra’s Principal Secretary, Agriculture, Bijay Kumar, sought to know whether such a report in fact existed.

Kumar had sought information after he was alerted by media reports about extensive cultivation of HT cotton in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Andhra, Telangana and Karnataka.

CICR told the principal secretary that it had not by itself collected the samples, but a person claiming to be a farmer from Nagpur had brought the seeds to the institute for testing.

The institute said it was for state governments to do the testing at its laboratories, but Kumar says the state’s laboratories do not have the capacity to test for herbicide tolerance, although they are equipped to test for the insect-resistance Bt gene, which is an approved trait.

It is unlikely that the state’s agriculture department and seed inspectors did not know that HT cotton was being illegally grown.

India has tough laws and regulations for approval of GM crops — they are required to meet strict bio-safety standards to obviate risk to humans, animals and the environment — but attitudes like that of CICR and the state agriculture departments allow a free play to rogue actors.

Even the Genetic Engineering Appraisal Committee (GEAC) turned a blind eye to the issue. It says it came to know only recently that unapproved HT cotton was being grown. Monsanto, which owns the HT trait found in CICR’s samples, says it has been bringing the practice to the notice of GEAC since 2008 and most recently in August.

The Andhra government’s actions are quite curious. On October 5 this year, it set up a committee of three persons to study the “efficacy” of the unapproved HT trait, instead of investigating the practice, and punishing the violators. The committee was to give its report in 15 days.

On October 13, Reuters reported that the notification setting up the committee had been withdrawn. On October 17, the state set up another three-person committee, comprising another set of members, to investigate the cultivation of the unapproved hybrids, and lodge criminal cases against violators under the environment protection law.

The notification says the October 5 committee was set up after “careful consideration.” It says the state had received a representation from farmers to allow seed companies with the right credentials to produce HT cottonseed, so they were assured of quality. In the representation, the farmers said the unapproved hybrids had been planted in half of the state’s cotton-growing villages and they covered 15 percent of its cotton area.

In neighbouring Telangana, T Keshavulu, Director, Telangana State Seed Certification Agency said, “I am hearing it is being grown here and there and in the entire country.” But another official in the agriculture department, who did not wish to be named, said HT cotton was being sold by Gujarati traders in 500 gram and 1 kg white cloth bags and there was a rise in sale of glyphosate, the active ingredient in the herbicide to which the unapproved hybrids are tolerant.

The state’s laboratory which monitors transgenic crops had even found a brand of cottonseed called Kamadhenu testing positive for the herbicide-tolerance trait.

Kumar said he has asked CICR to put the state’s investigators in touch with the Nagpur farmer who had given it samples of HT cottonseed so he could lead them to the suppliers. He has also ordered the investigators to take samples of cotton leaf and bolls. He has promised tough action.

Telangana’s agriculture department official said a scheduled meeting with seed companies to discuss cottonseed production plans, which is usually held in November has been advanced to October. The production plots of the seed companies will be tested, he said.

But the paste is out of the tube and there is no way to put it back. States will not be able to crack down on farmers. And the pirates will find ways to meet demand.

The government’s attitude to intellectual property rights (IPR) has been hostile to trait developers. Monsanto’s associate company, Mahyco, withdrew the application for approval of HT cotton in August last year, fearing difficulty in enforcing its rights if the patented trait were approved.

During a recent meeting with seed companies, GEAC Chairperson Amita Prasad asked Raju Barwale of Mahyco why the company had withdrawn its application. He said the business was not viable. In May 2015, the central government had not only brought Bt cottonseed under price control nationally, it had also cut trait fees by 74 percent.

(Vivian Fernandes is editor of www.smartindianagriculture.in. He may be reached at vivianfernandesonly@gmail.com)

—IANS